Horizon Information Portal

HSPLS site

eBooks/Audiobooks

Reading Program

Inside the crystal ball : how to make and use forecasts / Maury Harris.

by Harris, Maury.

View full image

Hoboken New Jersey : John Wiley and Sons, Inc., c2015.

Economic forecasting.

Business cycles.

9781118865071 (cloth) :

1118865073 (cloth)

xix, 374 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm

Introduction: what you need to know about forecasting -- What makes a successful forecaster? -- The art and science of making and using forecasts -- What can we learn from history? -- When forecasters get it wrong -- Can we believe what Washington D.C. tells us? -- Four gurus of economics: whom to follow? -- The 'new normal': time to curb your enthusiasm? -- Animal spirits: the intangibles behind business spending -- Forecastin fickle consumers -- What will it cost to live in the future? -- Interest rates: forecasters' toughest challenge -- Forecasting in troubled times -- How to survive and thrive in forecasting.

Everybody forecasts and listens to forecasters, whether they are investors or not. Forecasting is an essential and unavoidable part our lives. Decisions about future outcomes are critical for success or failure in everything from marriage, career choices, business, and investments. No one always makes the right choices. Yet being right the majority of the time, especially for investors and businesses, is everyone's goal. This book is about improving almost anyone's ability to make more correct decisions. The book provides sobering evidence on just how hard it is to successfully forecast the economy; showcases how and why economists succeed and sometimes fail to correctly forecast the future; examines what has made economic forecasters relatively successful and others not so successful in order to learn from past mistakes"--Publisher's description.

Horizon Information Portal 3.25_9884

Powered by Dynix

© 2001-2013 SirsiDynix All rights reserved.

Horizon Information Portal