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Item Information   Holdings     Summary     More Content       More by this author     Perlmutter, Saul, author.     Subjects     Thought and thinking.     Cognitive psychology.     Social psychology.     Decision making.     Browse Catalog     by author:      Perlmutter, Saul, author.       by title:      Third millennium thi...         MARC Display

Third millennium thinking : creating sense in a world of nonsense / Saul Perlmutter, John Campbell, Robert MacCoun. by Perlmutter, Saul, author. New York : Little, Brown Spark, 2024. Subjects Thought and thinking.   Cognitive psychology.   Social psychology.   Decision making. ISBN:  9780316438100 (hardcover) : 0316438103 (hardcover) Description:  viii, 305 pages : illustrations ; 25 cm Edition:  First edition. Contents:  Introduction -- Part I: Getting a grip on reality. Decisions, decisions, decisions ; Instruments and reality ; Making things happen -- Part II: Understanding and uncertainty. A radical shift to probablistic thinking ; Overconfidence and humility ; Finding signal in noise ; Seeing things that aren't there ; Pick your poison: Two kinds of error ; Statistical and systematic uncertainty -- Part III: The radical can-do stance. Scientific optimism ; Orders of understanding and Fermi problems -- Part IV: Minding the gaps. Why it's hard to learn from experience ; Science gone wrong ; Confirmation bias and blind analysis -- Part V: Joining forces. The wisdom and madness of crowds ; Weaving facts and values ; The deliberation challege ; Rebooting trust for a new millennium. Requests:  0 Summary:  A Nobel prize-winning physicist, a social psychologist and a philosopher on how science can help us navigate information overload, thrive amidst uncertainty and heal our fractured society.   Copy/Holding information Location Collection Call No. Status   Hawaii State Library Adult New Books 153.42 Pe Checked In Add Copy to MyList Kaimuki Public Library Adult New Books 153.42 Pe Checked In Add Copy to MyList

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