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The college stress test : tracking institutional futures across a crowded market / Robert Zemsky, Susan Shaman, Susan Campbell Baldridge.

by Zemsky, Robert, 1940- author.

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Baltimore, Maryland : Johns Hopkins University Press, 2020.

Universities and colleges -- United States -- Business management.

Universities and colleges -- United States -- Evaluation.

College choice -- Economic aspects -- United States.

1421437031 (hardcover ; alk. paper)

9781421437033 (hardcover ; alk. paper)

viii, 155 pages : illustrations ; 24 cm

Is it closing time? -- Threat, reassurance, and grief -- A winner's market -- A calculus for risk -- The distribution of risk -- Winners and losers -- Those who are bound to struggle -- Changing the slope -- Appendixes: A. Risk index workbook for institutional analysts -- B. On squaring the circle -- C. A note on verification.

"Education economist Robert Zemsky and his team of researchers devised a predictive model to assess a higher education institution's risk of closure. Using institutional data publicly available from the Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (under the auspices of the US Dept. of Education), the team analyzed a set of metrics for estimating the market viability of more than 2,800 undergraduate institutions. With this massive data set, they developed a stress test that identifies institutions at greatest risk of closure or consolidation because of shifting student markets"--

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