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The art of thinking clearly / Rolf Dobelli ; translated by Nicky Griffin.

by Dobelli, Rolf, 1966- author.

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New York : Harper, 2014.

Reasoning (Psychology)

Errors -- Psychological aspects.

Decision making.

9780062219695 (paperback) :

0062219693 (paperback) :

xviii, 358 pages ; 22 cm

First Harper paperback edition.

Why you should visit cemeteries: survivorship bias -- Does Harvard make you smarter?: swimmer's body illusion -- Why you see shapes in the clouds: clustering illusion -- If fifty million people say something foolish, it is still foolish: social proof -- Why you should forget the past: sunk cost fallacy -- Don't accept free drinks: reciprocity -- Beware the "special case": confirmation bias (part 1) -- Murder your darlings: confirmation bias (part 2) -- Don't bow to authority: authority bias -- Leave your supermodel friends at home: contrast effect -- Why we prefer a wrong map to none at all: availability bias -- Why "no pain, no gain" should set alarm bells ringing: the it'll-get-worse-before-it-gets-better fallacy -- Even true stories are fairy tales: story bias -- Why you should keep a diary: hindsight bias -- Why you systematically overestimate your knowledge and abilities: overconfidence effect -- Don't take news anchors seriously: chauffeur knowledge -- You control less than you think: illusion of control -- Never pay your lawyer by the hour: incentive super-response tendency -- The dubious efficacy of doctors, consultants, and psychotherapists: regression to mean -- Never judge a decision by its outcome: outcome bias -- Less is more: paradox of choice -- You like me, you really, really like me: liking bias -- Don't cling to things: endowment effect -- The inevitability of unlikely events: coincidence -- The calamity of conformity: groupthink -- Why you'll soon be playing mega trillions: neglect of probability -- Why the last cookie in the jar makes your mouth water: scarcity error -- When you hear hoofbeats, don't expect a zebra: base-rate neglect -- Why the "balancing force of the universe" is baloney: gambler's fallacy -- Why the wheel of fortune makes our heads spin: the anchor -- How to relieve people of their millions: inductions -- Why evil is more striking than good: loss aversion -- Why teams are lazy: social loafing -- Stumped by a sheet of paper: exponential growth -- Curb your enthusiasm: winner's curse -- Never ask a writer if the novel is autobiographical: fundamental attribution error -- Why you shouldn't believe in the stork: false causality -- Why attractive people climb the career ladder more quickly: halo effect -- Congratulations! you've won the Russian roulette: alternative paths -- False prophets: forecast illusion -- The deception of specific cases: conjunction fallacy -- It's not what you say, but how you say it: framing -- Why watching and waiting is torture: action bias -- Why you are either the solution-or the problem: omission bias -- Don't blame me: self-serving bias -- Be careful what you wish for: Hedonic treadmill -- Do not marvel at your existence: self-selection bias -- Why experience can damage your judgment: association bias -- Be wary when things get off to a great start: beginner's luck -- Sweet little lies: cognitive dissonance -- Live each day as if it were your last-but only on Sunday's: hyperbolic discounting -- Any lame excuse: "because" justification -- Decide better-decide less: decision fatigue -- Would you wear Hitler's sweater?: contagion bias -- Why there is no such thing as an average war: the problem with averages -- How bonuses destroy motivation: motivation crowding -- If you have nothing to say, say nothing: twaddle tendency -- How to increase the average IQ of two states: Will Rogers phenomenon -- If you have an enemy, give him information: information bias -- Hurts so good: effort justification -- Why small things loom large: the law of small numbers -- Handle with care: expectations -- Speed traps ahead!: simple logic -- How to expose a Charlatan: forer effect -- Volunteer work is for the birds: volunteer's folly -- Why you are a slave to your emotions: affect heuristic -- Be your own heretic: introspection illusion -- Why you should set fire to your ships: inability to close doors -- Disregard the brand new: neomania -- Why propaganda works: sleeper effect -- Why it's never just a two-horse race: alternative blindness -- Why we take aim at young guns: social comparison bias -- Why first impressions are deceiving: primacy and recency effects -- Why you can't beat homemade: not-invented-here syndrome -- How to profit from the implausible: the black swan -- Knowledge is nontransferable: domain dependence -- The myth of like-mindedness: false-consensus effect -- You were right all along: falsification of history -- Why you identify with your football team: in-group out-group bias -- The difference between risk and uncertainty: ambiguity aversion -- Why you go with the status quo: default effect -- Why "last chances" make us panic: fear of regret -- How eye-catching details render us blind: salience effect -- Why money is not naked: house-money effect -- Why New Year's Resolutions don't work: procrastination -- Build your own castle: envy -- Why you prefer novels to statistics: personification -- You have no idea what you are overlooking: illusion of attention -- Hot air: strategic misrepresentation -- Where's the off switch?: overthinking -- Why you take on too much: planning fallacy -- Those wielding hammers see only nails: deformation professionnelle -- Mission accomplished: Zeigarnik effect -- The boat matters more than rowing: illusion of skill -- Why checklists deceive you: feature-positive effect -- Drawing the bull's-eye around the arrow: cherry picking -- The stone age hunt for scapegoats: fallacy of the single cause -- Why speed demons appear to be safe drivers: intention-to-treat error -- Why you shouldn't read the news: news illusion.

"The Art of Thinking Clearly by world-class thinker and entrepreneur Rolf Dobelli is an eye-opening look at human psychology and reasoning--essential reading for anyone who wants to avoid "cognitive errors" and make better choices in all aspects of their lives"--Amazon.com.

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